Clik here to view.
Predictions for 2016
This year I will be making a series of predictions about the future, and assigning each of them a probability. I was inspired to do so by Scott Alexander and Phillip Tetlock. Too many commentators make...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Prediction Contest 2016
In my capacity as President of the Economics Graduate Student Society at SFU, I set up a prediction contest. We hosted a pub night and I used the opportunity to solicit predictions on a wide range of...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Prediction Contest 2: Electric Boogaloo
Following the success of the EGSS’ first prediction contest, I have organized a second contest! The predictions were made on November 17th, 2016 and will resolve on March 17th, 2017. The three...
View ArticleClik here to view.
How Did My 2016 Predictions Stack Up?
Last January I made some predictions for 2016. In this post, I will see how they stacked up. Crossed out predictions indicate that I was wrong, italicized predictions indicate that I couldn’t...
View Article
